Tennis · W50 Leiria · 02/09, 11:00
Prediction: Valentina Ivanov vs Matilde Jorge
Team pages: Valentina Ivanov · Matilde Jorge
Prediction summary
Winner
Valentina Ivanov
Matilde Jorge
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Valentina Ivanov
5-5 (W-L)
Matilde Jorge
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valentina Ivanov 1559 · Matilde Jorge 1527
| Valentina Ivanov | Matilde Jorge | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Valentina Ivanov makes many double faults (4.2/match).
- Note: Matilde Jorge makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Valentina Ivanov | Matilde Jorge | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-8.6 | 11.2-10.4 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 58.3% | 70.1% |
| Break % | 57.3% | 46% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valentina Ivanov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Gabriella Da Silva Fick W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/08 | Valentina Losciale W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/08 | Jenny Lim W75 Koksijde |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Demi Tran W75 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/07 | Martha Matoula W50 Knokke-Heist |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Luna Vujovic W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/07 | Irina Balus W50 Knokke-Heist |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Fanny Pire W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 24/07 | Johanne C Svendsen W35 Gentofte |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Luna Vujovic W35 Gentofte |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
Matilde Jorge
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Sonja Zhiyenbayeva W35 Vigo |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 14/08 | Sofia Costoulas W35 Vigo |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 13/08 | Isis Louise Van den Broek W35 Vigo |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/08 | Maria Berlanga Bandera W35 Vigo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Mina Hodzic W75 Ourense |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Carmen Gallardo Guevara W100 Gran Canaria |
1-1 | 14-15 | L |
| 08/07 | Chloe Noel W50 Corroios-Seixal |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 05/07 | Han Shi W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Hina Inoue W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/07 | Veronika Podrez W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valentina Ivanov vs Matilde Jorge?
Our model gives 61% to Matilde Jorge, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.