Tennis · W50 Leiria · 02/09, 11:00
Prediction: Harmony Tan vs Sofia Johnson
Team pages: Harmony Tan · Sofia Johnson
Prediction summary
Winner
Harmony Tan
Sofia Johnson
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Harmony Tan
5-5 (W-L)
Sofia Johnson
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Harmony Tan 1543 · Sofia Johnson 1547
| Harmony Tan | Sofia Johnson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Harmony Tan | Sofia Johnson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 71% (7) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-9.9 | 10.5-8.6 |
| Aces | 4 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 73.5% | 67.5% |
| Break % | 38.8% | 45.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Harmony Tan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Mary Stoiana US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Anastasia Gasanova WTA Istanbul · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Lucie Havlickova WTA Istanbul · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 25/06 | Tyra Caterina Grant Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Esther Adeshina Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Mia Pohankova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 12/06 | Celine Naef WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/06 | Taylah Preston WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 08/06 | Emily Appleton WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Sofia Johnson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Jo Yee Chan W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/08 | Jenna Defalco W50 Leiria |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 26/07 | Storm Hunter WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 25/07 | Karman Kaur Thandi WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/07 | Caroline Dolehide W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Hanna Chang W100 Evansville |
1-0 | 6-1 | W |
| 21/07 | Briley Rhoden W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/07 | Haruka Kaji W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Kristina Liutova W100 Cary · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 01/07 | Anna Rogers W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Harmony Tan vs Sofia Johnson?
Our model gives 57% to Harmony Tan, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.