Tennis · W35 Kursumlijska Banja · 02/09, 10:00
Prediction: Lucia Cortez Llorca vs Amarissa Kiara Toth
Team pages: Lucia Cortez Llorca · Amarissa Kiara Toth
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucia Cortez Llorca
Amarissa Kiara Toth
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Lucia Cortez Llorca
5-5 (W-L)
Amarissa Kiara Toth
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucia Cortez Llorca 1511 · Amarissa Kiara Toth 1472
| Lucia Cortez Llorca | Amarissa Kiara Toth | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Lucia Cortez Llorca makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Lucia Cortez Llorca | Amarissa Kiara Toth | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (4) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-9.1 | 10.8-11 |
| Aces | 1 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 58.9% | 56.4% |
| Break % | 50.3% | 53.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucia Cortez Llorca
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Carmen Gallardo Guevara W75 Ourense |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Linea Bajraliu W35 Gentofte |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 25/07 | Johanne C Svendsen W35 Gentofte |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 24/07 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W35 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/07 | Mariia Lazarenko W35 Gentofte |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/07 | Kiara Zabkova W35 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/06 | Lorena Schaedel W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Amy Sucha W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Aleksandra Zaplawa W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Valentina Ivanov W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Amarissa Kiara Toth
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Pia Lovric W35 Trieste |
0-2 | 2-10 | L |
| 25/08 | Eleonora Alvisi W35 Trieste |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/07 | Jennifer Ruggeri WTA Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 25/06 | Daria Kuczer W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 23/06 | Laura Hietaranta W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/06 | Chloe Paquet WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Dalila Jakupovic W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 10/06 | Caroline Werner W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/05 | Carlota Martinez Cirez W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 21/05 | Tilwith Di Girolami W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucia Cortez Llorca vs Amarissa Kiara Toth?
Our model gives 63% to Amarissa Kiara Toth, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.