Tennis · M15 Porto Velho · 02/09, 16:00
Prediction: Rafael Tosetto vs Lucca C Pignaton
Team pages: Rafael Tosetto · Lucca C Pignaton
Prediction summary
Winner
Rafael Tosetto
Lucca C Pignaton
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Rafael Tosetto
3-7 (W-L)
Lucca C Pignaton
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rafael Tosetto 1559 · Lucca C Pignaton 1466
| Rafael Tosetto | Lucca C Pignaton | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rafael Tosetto (rating 1559 vs 1466).
Statistics
| Rafael Tosetto | Lucca C Pignaton | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 17% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-12 | 8.7-9.8 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 59.7% | 62.5% |
| Break % | 41.1% | 38.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rafael Tosetto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Maxwell Exsted M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 12/08 | Ezequiel Monferrer M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 11/08 | Benjamin Torrealba M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/08 | Juan Sebastian Osorio M25 Londrina |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 29/07 | Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida M15 Sao Paulo |
0-1 | 11-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Ryan Augusto Dos Santos M15 Sao Paulo |
1-1 | 8-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Matias Soto M25 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Gustavo Albieri M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/06 | Wilson Leite Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Lucca C Pignaton
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Jackson Pereira Xavier M15 Porto Velho |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Ryo Tabata M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Pierre Ngijol Carre M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Pranav Karthik M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Breno Braga M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Martin Maldonado M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/04 | James Connel M15 Orange Park · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/12 | Edgar Destouet UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/12 | Noah Folkesson Doudy UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/12 | Oren Ezerzer UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rafael Tosetto vs Lucca C Pignaton?
Our model gives 71% to Rafael Tosetto, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.