Tennis · M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre · 02/09, 10:00
Prediction: Dan Added vs Etienne Donnet
Team pages: Dan Added · Etienne Donnet
Prediction summary
Winner
Dan Added
Etienne Donnet
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Dan Added
6-4 (W-L)
Etienne Donnet
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dan Added 1503 · Etienne Donnet 1458
| Dan Added | Etienne Donnet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dan Added (rating 1503 vs 1458).
Statistics
| Dan Added | Etienne Donnet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (5) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-10.9 | 10.9-10.9 |
| Aces | 5.9 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 71.9% | 71.2% |
| Break % | 22.3% | 33.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dan Added
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Jerome Kym US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Philip Henning M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/08 | Goncalo Marques M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/08 | Pablo Perez Navarro M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Stefan Vujic M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Joao Dinis Silva M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 28/07 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 21/07 | Florent Bax Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Etienne Donnet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Mahmoud Chetouane M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 04/03 | Leonardo Rossi M15 Poitiers · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/02 | Tom Sickenberger M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/11 | Robert Strombachs M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Lui Maxted M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 18/10 | Mathys Erhard M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 17/10 | Luca Wiedenmann M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/10 | Daniil Ostapenkov M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/10 | Mert Aytekin M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/10 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dan Added vs Etienne Donnet?
Our model gives 64% to Dan Added, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.