Tennis · M25 Meerbusch · 02/09, 11:00
Prediction: Liam Gavrielides vs Marcel Zielinski
Team pages: Liam Gavrielides · Marcel Zielinski
Prediction summary
Winner
Liam Gavrielides
Marcel Zielinski
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Liam Gavrielides
6-4 (W-L)
Marcel Zielinski
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Liam Gavrielides
1–0
Marcel Zielinski
(1 last)
- 27 Apr2-0 13-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Liam Gavrielides 1508 · Marcel Zielinski 1597
| Liam Gavrielides | Marcel Zielinski | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marcel Zielinski (rating 1508 vs 1597).
- Head-to-head: Liam Gavrielides 1–0 Marcel Zielinski (1).
Statistics
| Liam Gavrielides | Marcel Zielinski | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-11 | 12.1-7.9 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 73.8% | 66.4% |
| Break % | 44% | 72.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
H2H · Liam Gavrielides 1 – 0 Marcel Zielinski (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Liam Gavrielides 1–0 Marcel Zielinski
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/23 ITF M15 Meerbusch | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Liam Gavrielides
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Mika Brunold Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/08 | Matyas Fuele Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 19/08 | Tymur Bieldiugin M25 Ueberlingen |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 15/08 | Michael Agwi M15 Trier |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Adrian Oetzbach M15 Trier |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 13/08 | Pieter De Lange M15 Trier |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/08 | Felix Einig M15 Trier |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Daniel Siniakov M25 Metzingen |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 21/07 | David Fix M25 Metzingen |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Tomasz Berkieta M15 Uslar |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
Marcel Zielinski
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Heorhii Shylov M15 Vienna |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Alen Mujakic M15 Vienna |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 25/08 | Janis Graski M15 Vienna |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/08 | Nikita Mashtakov M15 Mistelbach |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 21/08 | Theodore Dean M15 Mistelbach |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 20/08 | Gabriele Crivellaro M15 Mistelbach |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/08 | Felix Fischer M15 Mistelbach |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 15/08 | Ziga Sesko M15 Trier |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Oliver Majdandzic M15 Trier |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/08 | Thanaphat Boosarawongse M15 Trier |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Liam Gavrielides vs Marcel Zielinski?
Our model gives 50% to Liam Gavrielides, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.