Tennis · M25 Meerbusch · 02/09, 11:00

Prediction: Vincent Dullinger vs Bruno Fernandez

Team pages: Vincent Dullinger · Bruno Fernandez

Prediction summary
Winner
48% 52%
Vincent Dullinger Bruno Fernandez
Estimated games
23.8
Recent form · 10 last
Vincent Dullinger 4-6 (W-L)
LLLWWWWLLL
Bruno Fernandez 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLWWWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vincent Dullinger 1522 · Bruno Fernandez 1421
Vincent DullingerBruno Fernandez
Our model64%36%
Market35%65%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vincent Dullinger (rating 1522 vs 1421).
  • Vincent Dullinger is in better form: 50% recent wins.
  • Note: Bruno Fernandez makes many double faults (4.2/match).

Statistics

Vincent DullingerBruno Fernandez
Win %50%10%
Win % · Clay 0% (1) 0% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.20.8-1.8
Games (G-P)11.6-11.811.3-13.8
Aces1.93.9
Double faults2.64.2
1st serve %64%65.5%
Break %43.1%40.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vincent Dullinger

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/08 Jannik Maute
M25 Ueberlingen
0-2 8-13 L
09/08 Maxime Chazal
M15 Frankfurt
0-2 2-12 L
08/08 Julien Penzlin
M15 Frankfurt
2-1 14-12 W
07/08 Arian Barbic
M15 Frankfurt
2-0 12-7 W
06/08 Neo Niedner
M15 Frankfurt
2-0 13-7 W
05/08 Ammar Elamin
M15 Frankfurt
2-0 12-5 W
26/07 Olle Wallin
Challenger Bonn · Clay
1-2 10-16 L
23/07 Raphael Perot
M25 Metzingen
1-2 16-17 L
22/07 Alec Beckley
M25 Metzingen
2-1 16-15 W
15/07 Francesco Ferrari
M15 Nova Gorica
1-2 13-14 L

Bruno Fernandez

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/08 Hazem Naw
M15 Allershausen
1-2 10-15 L
18/08 Stefan Popovic
M25 Slovenj Gradec
0-2 10-13 L
13/08 Niklas Schell
M15 Trier
0-2 8-13 L
12/08 Luca Castagnola
M15 Trier
2-0 12-6 W
07/07 Juan Pablo Varillas
Challenger Bogota · Clay
1-2 13-14 L
30/06 Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Challenger Quito · Clay
1-2 13-17 L
26/06 Nicolas Kicker
Challenger Piracicaba · Clay
1-2 16-17 L
15/06 Nick Hardt
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
1-2 12-15 L
10/06 Nick Hardt
Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
02/06 Nicolas Oliveira
M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay
1-2 12-15 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vincent Dullinger vs Bruno Fernandez?

Our model gives 52% to Bruno Fernandez, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.