Tennis · M15 Haren · 02/09, 10:00

Prediction: Matas Vasiliauskas vs Pieter De Lange

Team pages: Matas Vasiliauskas · Pieter De Lange

Prediction summary
Winner
21% 79%
Matas Vasiliauskas Pieter De Lange
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Matas Vasiliauskas 1-9 (W-L)
LLWLLLLLLL
Pieter De Lange 3-7 (W-L)
WLWLLLLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Matas Vasiliauskas 1416 · Pieter De Lange 1528
Matas VasiliauskasPieter De Lange
Our model34%66%
Market9%91%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pieter De Lange (rating 1416 vs 1528).
  • Pieter De Lange is in better form: 50% recent wins.
  • Note: Pieter De Lange makes many double faults (5.1/match).

Statistics

Matas VasiliauskasPieter De Lange
Win %10%50%
Win % · Hard 20% (5)
Sets (G-P)0.2-1.71.1-1.3
Games (G-P)4.9-10.311-11.3
Aces0.81.7
Double faults3.85.1
1st serve %56.7%64.9%
Break %27.5%44.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Matas Vasiliauskas

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/08 Bercel Sandor Takacs
M15 Pecs
0-1 3-6 L
19/08 Vid Mohar
M25 Slovenj Gradec
0-2 7-12 L
11/08 Alejandro Arcila
M15 Malmo
0-2 4-12 L
04/08 Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka
M15 Poprad
0-2 4-12 L
29/07 Evangelos Kypriotis
M25 Gentofte
0-2 2-10 L
25/06 Kerem Yilmaz
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 1-8 L
18/06 Volodymyr Iakubenko
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 6-13 L
17/06 Haydar Cem Gokpinar
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
10/06 Keshav Chopra
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
04/06 Adhithya Ganesan
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L

Pieter De Lange

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/08 Eric Vanshelboim
M25 Oldenzaal
0-2 7-13 L
27/08 Jelle Sels
M25 Oldenzaal
2-1 15-11 W
25/08 Pranav Karthik
M25 Oldenzaal
2-1 16-11 W
13/08 Liam Gavrielides
M15 Trier
0-2 6-12 L
12/08 Fons Van Sambeek
M15 Trier
2-1 14-13 W
05/08 Matthieu Chambonniere
M15 Eupen
1-2 15-19 L
22/07 Adrian Oetzbach
M25 Metzingen
0-2 8-12 L
21/07 Richard Antoni
M25 Metzingen
2-0 12-6 W
15/07 Tom Gentzsch
Challenger Bunschoten · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
13/07 Michael Geerts
Challenger Bunschoten · Clay
2-0 12-4 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Matas Vasiliauskas vs Pieter De Lange?

Our model gives 79% to Pieter De Lange, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.