Prediction: Stijn Paardekooper vs Jesse De Jager
Team pages: Stijn Paardekooper · Jesse De Jager
Prediction summary
Winner
Stijn Paardekooper
Jesse De Jager
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Stijn Paardekooper
5-5 (W-L)
Jesse De Jager
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Stijn Paardekooper
1–1
Jesse De Jager
(2 last)
- 25 Jun0-2 6-13L
- 27 Feb2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stijn Paardekooper 1532 · Jesse De Jager 1467
| Stijn Paardekooper | Jesse De Jager | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stijn Paardekooper (rating 1532 vs 1467).
Statistics
| Stijn Paardekooper | Jesse De Jager | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-9.9 | 9.9-9.7 |
| Aces | 4 | 2 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 69.3% | 66.3% |
| Break % | 37.8% | 45.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Stijn Paardekooper 1 – 1 Jesse De Jager (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stijn Paardekooper 1–1 Jesse De Jager
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06/26 M15 Alkmaar | 0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 27/02/26 UTR Pro Carvoeiro | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stijn Paardekooper
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Jelle Sels M25 Oldenzaal |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 21/08 | Jack Loge M15 Lambermont |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 20/08 | Noah Schlagenhauf M15 Lambermont |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 19/08 | Noah Thurner M15 Lambermont |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/08 | Raul Clarijs UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Aaron Hilsum UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/08 | Sam Kydd Baumgartner UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 11/08 | Riccardo Campagnola UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Tej Bhagra UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/07 | Niels Lootsma UTR Pro Dusseldorf · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Jesse De Jager
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M15 Lambermont |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 19/08 | Pijus Vaitiekunas M15 Lambermont |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/08 | Felix Einig M15 Trier |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Leyton Rivera M15 Poprad |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Tom Sickenberger M25 Wetzlar |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Niklas Grunewald M25 Wetzlar |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Aaron Funk M25 Metzingen |
1-2 | 9-11 | L |
| 27/06 | Marc Majdandzic M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 26/06 | Sander Jong M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Stijn Paardekooper M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stijn Paardekooper vs Jesse De Jager?
Our model gives 60% to Stijn Paardekooper, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.