Tennis · M15 Monastir · 02/09, 10:30
Prediction: Edison Ambarzumjan vs Thando Longwe-Smit
Team pages: Edison Ambarzumjan · Thando Longwe-Smit
Prediction summary
Winner
Edison Ambarzumjan
Thando Longwe-Smit
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Edison Ambarzumjan
3-7 (W-L)
Thando Longwe-Smit
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Edison Ambarzumjan 1430 · Thando Longwe-Smit 1497
| Edison Ambarzumjan | Thando Longwe-Smit | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thando Longwe-Smit (rating 1430 vs 1497).
- Thando Longwe-Smit is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Edison Ambarzumjan | Thando Longwe-Smit | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 17% (6) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.7 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-12 | 11-11.6 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 65.2% | 64.5% |
| Break % | 46% | 34.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Edison Ambarzumjan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Hazem Naw M15 Allershausen |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Marko Bekeni M15 Allershausen |
2-1 | 14-7 | W |
| 02/08 | Nitin Kumar Sinha Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Nikolai Barsukov M25 Wetzlar |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 21/06 | Tomasz Berkieta Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Aziz Ouakaa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Anas Bennour Dit Sahli M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/05 | Tuncay Duran Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Jake Dembo M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Gray Voelzke M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
Thando Longwe-Smit
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Toufik Sahtali M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Alec Beckley Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Laurence Teunissen Challenger Centurion Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/05 | Alec Beckley Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 24/05 | Michael Zhu Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/05 | Alec Beckley M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Lev Seidman M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 15/05 | Rocco Piatti M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 14/05 | Stefan Storch M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 12/05 | Zak Talic M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Edison Ambarzumjan vs Thando Longwe-Smit?
Our model gives 62% to Thando Longwe-Smit, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.