Tennis · M15 Monastir · 02/09, 10:30

Prediction: Ammar Elamin vs Oscar Brown

Team pages: Ammar Elamin · Oscar Brown

Prediction summary
Winner
32% 68%
Ammar Elamin Oscar Brown
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Ammar Elamin 1-9 (W-L)
WLLLLLLLLL
Oscar Brown 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWWWLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ammar Elamin 1430 · Oscar Brown 1532
Ammar ElaminOscar Brown
Our model36%64%
Market29%71%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oscar Brown (rating 1430 vs 1532).
  • Oscar Brown is in better form: 60% recent wins.

Statistics

Ammar ElaminOscar Brown
Win %30%60%
Win % · Hard 0% (1) 80% (5)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.61.4-0.8
Games (G-P)9.9-11.910.7-9.2
Aces21.1
Double faults1.42.2
1st serve %66.5%60.6%
Break %31.5%53%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ammar Elamin

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/08 Roan Jones
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
19/08 Jan Sadzik
M15 Krakow
1-2 14-18 L
13/08 Robert Strombachs
M15 Warsaw
0-2 5-12 L
12/08 Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei
M15 Warsaw
2-1 16-11 W
05/08 Vincent Dullinger
M15 Frankfurt
0-2 5-12 L
30/07 Matt Ponchet
M15 Dublin
0-2 7-12 L
29/07 Aaron Gabet
M15 Dublin
2-1 16-13 W
01/07 Denis Klok
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
30/06 Sam Kydd Baumgartner
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
1-2 8-9 L
29/06 Javier De Francisco-Aguirrebengoa Gonsalves
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W

Oscar Brown

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/08 Esteban Talavera Cortes
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 14-17 L
12/08 Stefan Popovic
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
11/08 Sergej Zivkovic
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
07/08 Charles Broom
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
06/08 Benjamin Gusic Wan
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
05/08 Rocco Piatti
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
03/08 Zach Stephens
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
02/08 Matthew Carroll
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
29/07 Tiago Cacao
M25 Aldershot
1-2 10-15 L
27/07 Conor Brady
M25 Aldershot
2-0 12-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ammar Elamin vs Oscar Brown?

Our model gives 68% to Oscar Brown, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.