Tennis · W50 Leiria · 02/09, 11:00
Prediction: Katarina Kuzmova vs Francisca Jorge
Team pages: Katarina Kuzmova · Francisca Jorge
Prediction summary
Winner
Katarina Kuzmova
Francisca Jorge
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Katarina Kuzmova
6-4 (W-L)
Francisca Jorge
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Katarina Kuzmova
0–1
Francisca Jorge
(1 last)
- 05 Jun1-2 12-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Katarina Kuzmova 1501 · Francisca Jorge 1486
| Katarina Kuzmova | Francisca Jorge | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Katarina Kuzmova 0–1 Francisca Jorge (1).
- Note: Katarina Kuzmova makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Katarina Kuzmova | Francisca Jorge | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 0.9-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-9.4 | 7.4-9.1 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 69% | 57.6% |
| Break % | 54.3% | 38.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
H2H · Katarina Kuzmova 0 – 1 Francisca Jorge (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Katarina Kuzmova 0–1 Francisca Jorge
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06/26 W50 Montemor-o-Novo | 1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Katarina Kuzmova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon W15 Torello · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 28/08 | Katherine Hui W15 Torello · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 27/08 | Juliana Giaccio W15 Torello · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Clarissa Gai W15 Torello · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Monika Ekstrand W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Emily Appleton W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Kira Pavlova W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Kateryna Lazarenko W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 7-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Alba Rey Garcia W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Angelina Voloshchuk W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Francisca Jorge
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Mia Ristic US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/08 | Yufei Ren W35 Vigo |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Hanna Bougouffa W35 Vigo |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/08 | Celia Cervino Ruiz W35 Vigo |
1-1 | 2-6 | L |
| 06/08 | Kira Pavlova W75 Ourense |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Zongyu Li W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Francesca Curmi W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Carol Young Suh Lee W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Angelina Voloshchuk W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Katarina Kuzmova vs Francisca Jorge?
Our model gives 65% to Francisca Jorge, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.