Tennis · UTR Pro Miami Women · 03/09, 17:30
Prediction: Natalie Oliver vs Berrak Kocak
Team pages: Natalie Oliver · Berrak Kocak
Prediction summary
Winner
Natalie Oliver
Berrak Kocak
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Natalie Oliver
3-7 (W-L)
Berrak Kocak
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Natalie Oliver 1440 · Berrak Kocak 1485
| Natalie Oliver | Berrak Kocak | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Berrak Kocak (rating 1440 vs 1485).
- Note: Natalie Oliver makes many double faults (4.3/match).
- Note: Berrak Kocak makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Natalie Oliver | Berrak Kocak | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.6 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.7-11.4 | 8.8-11 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 57.6% | 58% |
| Break % | 50.1% | 32.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Natalie Oliver
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Sofia Rocchetti UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Viktoriia Dema UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/07 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Ariana Gilbert UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Riley Crowder UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/07 | My-Anh Holmes UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 21/07 | Isabella Camacho UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Oziera Ahmad UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Mary Grace Rennard UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Catherine Rennard UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Berrak Kocak
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Viktoriia Dema UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/08 | Sofia Rocchetti UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 02/07 | Franziska Sziedat W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 30/06 | Anastasiya Kuparev W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Alana Subasic W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Serife Pelin Sari W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/06 | Ilay Yoruk W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Irina Khayndrava W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 26/05 | Doga Turkmen W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/03 | Katarina Zavatska WTA Antalya 2 · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Natalie Oliver vs Berrak Kocak?
Our model gives 68% to Berrak Kocak, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.