Tennis · M15 Porto Velho · 02/09, 16:00
Prediction: Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto vs Marvin Spiering
Prediction summary
Winner
Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto
Marvin Spiering
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto
4-6 (W-L)
Marvin Spiering
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto 1449 · Marvin Spiering 1513
| Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto | Marvin Spiering | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marvin Spiering (rating 1449 vs 1513).
- Marvin Spiering is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto | Marvin Spiering | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (8) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-11.5 | 10.7-8.4 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 60.9% | 64.7% |
| Break % | 54.7% | 49.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Tomas Dummer Macedo M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/06 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Pedro Rodrigues M15 Brasilia |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 04/06 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Breno Braga M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/05 | Mateus Alves M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Tomas Martinez M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 05/05 | Bruno Fernandez Challenger Santos · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 04/05 | Noah Schachter Challenger Santos · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/04 | Fernando Cavallo M15 Quito · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Marvin Spiering
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06 | Gabriel Schenekenberg M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/05 | Wilson Leite M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 12/05 | Lucas Zancheta M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/05 | Eugenio Almeida Junior M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/11 | Jose Pereira ITF M15 Ribeirao Preto |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 27/11 | Glauco Pinheiro Da Cruz Junior ITF M15 Ribeirao Preto |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/11 | Luka Bojicic Ono ITF M15 Criciuma |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/11 | Pedro Sakamoto ITF M25 Santa Cruz do Sul |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/11 | Gabriel Augusto Carvalho ITF M25 Santa Cruz do Sul |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/11 | Tomas Jordi Leston ITF M25 Santa Cruz do Sul |
2-1 | 9-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto vs Marvin Spiering?
Our model gives 50% to Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.