Tennis · W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer · 31/08, 10:00
Prediction: Marie Mattel vs Mathilde Lollia
Team pages: Marie Mattel · Mathilde Lollia
Prediction summary
Winner
Marie Mattel
Mathilde Lollia
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Marie Mattel
5-5 (W-L)
Mathilde Lollia
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marie Mattel 1492 · Mathilde Lollia 1501
| Marie Mattel | Mathilde Lollia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Mathilde Lollia makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Marie Mattel | Mathilde Lollia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.9-8.2 | 10.3-9.8 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 5.5 |
| 1st serve % | 62.5% | 61.4% |
| Break % | 49.4% | 48.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marie Mattel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Victoire Lansaman W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-0 | 9-1 | W |
| 27/07 | Luna Vujovic W50 Knokke-Heist |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Valeriya Strakhova W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 23/07 | Kateryna Diatlova W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Hena Cehajic W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/04 | Amandine Monnot W75 Calvi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/04 | Jana Otzipka W75 Calvi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/03 | Kira Pavlova W50 Nantes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/03 | Alicia Dudeney W15 Hagetmau · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/03 | Tegan Bush W15 Hagetmau · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-2 | W |
Mathilde Lollia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Arina Gabriela Vasilescu W50 Hamburg |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Polina Skliar W50 Hamburg |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Nastasja Schunk W50 Darmstadt |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Anouck Vrancken Peeters W50 Darmstadt |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/07 | Laetitia Pulchartova W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/07 | Christina Bednarczyk W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Carlota Martinez Cirez W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Julia Riera W75 Blois · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 10/06 | Marine Szostak W35 Nice |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/05 | Elena Milovanovic W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marie Mattel vs Mathilde Lollia?
Our model gives 51% to Mathilde Lollia, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.