Tennis · Challenger Manacor · 31/08, 13:00
Prediction: Oskari Paldanius vs Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Team pages: Oskari Paldanius · Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Prediction summary
Winner
Oskari Paldanius
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Oskari Paldanius
6-4 (W-L)
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oskari Paldanius 1516 · Ivan Marrero Curbelo 1515
| Oskari Paldanius | Ivan Marrero Curbelo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Oskari Paldanius | Ivan Marrero Curbelo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-12.1 | 11.6-11.6 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 61.5% | 67.6% |
| Break % | 58.1% | 42.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oskari Paldanius
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 23/08 | Peter Makk Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/08 | Amit Vales M15 Turku |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 14/08 | Oscar Weightman M15 Turku |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 13/08 | Andrea Bacaloni M15 Turku |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/08 | Melios Efstathiou M15 Turku |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Ergi Kirkin Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 02/08 | Leo Raquillet Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 21/07 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 18/07 | Max Wiskandt M25 Kramsach |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Andy Andrade Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Blaise Bicknell Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 17/08 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Lev Seidman Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 07/08 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 04/08 | Filip Peliwo Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 23/07 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Facundo Mena Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/07 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oskari Paldanius vs Ivan Marrero Curbelo?
Our model gives 51% to Oskari Paldanius, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.