Tennis · Challenger Manacor · 31/08, 10:00
Prediction: Alex Hernandez vs Marek Gengel
Team pages: Alex Hernandez · Marek Gengel
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Hernandez
Marek Gengel
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Hernandez
4-6 (W-L)
Marek Gengel
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Hernandez 1446 · Marek Gengel 1521
| Alex Hernandez | Marek Gengel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marek Gengel (rating 1446 vs 1521).
- Marek Gengel is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Alex Hernandez makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Alex Hernandez | Marek Gengel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.3-12.8 | 10.8-10.2 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 4 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 60.4% | 74.9% |
| Break % | 37.3% | 31.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Hernandez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Alan Magadan Challenger Cancun · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 02/08 | Millen Hurrion Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Bernard Tomic ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Alan Magadan ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/07 | Nicolas Mejia ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Nick Hardt Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 30/06 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Quito · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 22/06 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 16/06 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Marek Gengel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Prague · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 01/06 | Milos Karol Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 31/05 | Dusan Obradovic Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/05 | Jeremy Schifris M25 Louny · ~Clay |
1-0 | 7-5 | W |
| 13/05 | Karl Poling M25 Louny · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/04 | Alibek Kachmazov M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/04 | Vadym Ursu M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/04 | Alessandro Pecci M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 22/04 | Andriy Poritskyy M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-0 | W |
| 16/04 | Anton Arzhankin M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Hernandez vs Marek Gengel?
Our model gives 60% to Marek Gengel, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.