Tennis · Challenger Porto · 31/08, 11:00
Prediction: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Pedro Vives Marcos
Team pages: Roberto Carballes Baena · Pedro Vives Marcos
Prediction summary
Winner
Roberto Carballes Baena
Pedro Vives Marcos
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Roberto Carballes Baena
6-4 (W-L)
Pedro Vives Marcos
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Roberto Carballes Baena 1512 · Pedro Vives Marcos 1559
| Roberto Carballes Baena | Pedro Vives Marcos | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pedro Vives Marcos (rating 1512 vs 1559).
Statistics
| Roberto Carballes Baena | Pedro Vives Marcos | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-10.4 | 13.1-10.9 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 73.6% | 65.7% |
| Break % | 50.8% | 43.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Roberto Carballes Baena
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/08 | Jacob Fearnley US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Olle Wallin Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Max Houkes Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Marc-Andrea Huesler Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Mackenzie McDonald Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Mark Ceban Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Sebastian Ofner Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Miguel Damas Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Pedro Vives Marcos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Joao Silva Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 27/08 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Bernardo Munk Mesa M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Aren Baybars M25 Oviedo |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 19/08 | Sergi Fita Juan M25 Santander |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 26/07 | Branko Djuric M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/07 | Lorenzo Comino M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/07 | Ali Yazdani M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 22/07 | Andrea Fiorentini M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Guglielmo Verdese M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Roberto Carballes Baena vs Pedro Vives Marcos?
Our model gives 60% to Roberto Carballes Baena, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.