Tennis · W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer · 31/08, 10:00
Prediction: Hanna Bougouffa vs Valeriya Strakhova
Team pages: Hanna Bougouffa · Valeriya Strakhova
Prediction summary
Winner
Hanna Bougouffa
Valeriya Strakhova
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Hanna Bougouffa
3-7 (W-L)
Valeriya Strakhova
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hanna Bougouffa 1482 · Valeriya Strakhova 1535
| Hanna Bougouffa | Valeriya Strakhova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valeriya Strakhova (rating 1482 vs 1535).
Statistics
| Hanna Bougouffa | Valeriya Strakhova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (3) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.4-10.3 | 12.8-10.1 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 54.8% | 63.9% |
| Break % | 39.2% | 44.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hanna Bougouffa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Elycia Savignac W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/08 | Francisca Jorge W35 Vigo |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Iveta Dapkute W35 Vigo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Madhurima Sawant W35 Vigo |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 22/07 | Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Federica Trevisan W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/07 | Mila Bastianelli W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
2-1 | 9-12 | W |
| 28/06 | Meline Lataste W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Ipek Oz W75 Blois · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Liv Boulard W75 Blois · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Valeriya Strakhova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Anastasija Cvetkovic W35 Verbier |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 27/08 | Luisa Hrda W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Lara Schmidt W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/08 | Lucie Havlickova W50 Prague |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 18/08 | Tereza Krejcova W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/08 | Petra Sedlackova W50 Prague |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 16/08 | Anna Dvorackova W50 Prague |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/08 | Valentina Steiner W75 Leipzig |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 02/08 | Katerina Mandelikova W75 Leipzig |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/07 | Marie Mattel W50 Knokke-Heist |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hanna Bougouffa vs Valeriya Strakhova?
Our model gives 74% to Valeriya Strakhova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.