Tennis · M15 Bali · 31/08, 04:00

Prediction: Eric Ahren Moonga vs Stefan Menichella

Team pages: Stefan Menichella

Prediction summary
Winner
46% 54%
Eric Ahren Moonga Stefan Menichella
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Eric Ahren Moonga 2-8 (W-L)
WLWLLLLLLL
Stefan Menichella 4-6 (W-L)
WWLLLLWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Eric Ahren Moonga 1450 · Stefan Menichella 1445
Eric Ahren MoongaStefan Menichella
Our model51%49%
Market42%58%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Eric Ahren MoongaStefan Menichella
Win %30%30%
Win % · Hard 33% (6) 22% (9)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.60.9-1.4
Games (G-P)7.8-119.9-10.1
Aces1.45
Double faults1.71.8
1st serve %60.5%66.7%
Break %31.9%49.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Eric Ahren Moonga

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/08 Oskar Jansson
M15 Bastad · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
17/08 Love Nyqvist
M15 Bastad · ~Clay
2-1 10-10 W
10/08 Emil Kindhult
M15 Malmo
0-2 5-12 L
26/07 Romeo Elfving
M25 Gentofte
0-2 7-12 L
08/06 Henrik Bladelius
M25 Varnamo · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
22/04 Hikaru Shiraishi
M15 Singapore · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
20/04 James Van Herzeele
M15 Singapore · ~Hard
2-1 12-12 W
13/04 Kosuke Shibano
M15 Singapore · ~Hard
1-2 10-11 L
24/09 George Loffhagen
ITF M25 Falun · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
23/09 Alvar Lange
ITF M25 Falun · Hard
2-0 12-4 W

Stefan Menichella

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/08 Renaldi Aqila A Salim
M15 Bali
2-0 12-1 W
30/06 Vit Kalina
M15 San Diego · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
17/03 Daniil Kakhniuk
M25 Bakersfield · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
25/01 Rohan Sachdev
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
24/01 Maciej Rajski
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
1-2 15-13 L
21/01 David Duong
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
20/01 Avner Wong
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
19/01 Brody Nejedly-Krall
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
1-2 13-15 L
19/11 Garrett Johns
ITF M25 Austin · Hard
1-2 10-12 L
18/11 Dillon Beckles
ITF M25 Austin · Hard
2-0 13-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Eric Ahren Moonga vs Stefan Menichella?

Our model gives 54% to Stefan Menichella, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.