Tennis · M15 Bali · 31/08, 04:00

Prediction: Ren Nakamura vs Azuma Visaya

Team pages: Ren Nakamura · Azuma Visaya

Prediction summary
Winner
24% 76%
Ren Nakamura Azuma Visaya
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Ren Nakamura 1-9 (W-L)
LLLLWLLLLL
Azuma Visaya 7-3 (W-L)
WWLWLWWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ren Nakamura 1434 · Azuma Visaya 1554
Ren NakamuraAzuma Visaya
Our model33%67%
Market17%83%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Azuma Visaya (rating 1434 vs 1554).
  • Azuma Visaya is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Ren NakamuraAzuma Visaya
Win %30%70%
Win % · Hard 17% (6) 75% (4)
Sets (G-P)0.6-1.71.6-0.6
Games (G-P)7.8-11.911.1-6.8
Aces2.22.2
Double faults1.93.8
1st serve %59.9%74.2%
Break %41.2%45%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ren Nakamura

LWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/08 Kristjan Tamm
M25 Taipei · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
17/08 Ryuki Matsuda
M25 Taipei · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
27/07 Corban Crowther
M15 Bali
0-2 11-14 L
26/07 Diordan Macababbad
M15 Bali Qual
2-1 13-11 W
22/07 Keisuke Saitoh
M15 Bali
0-2 4-12 L
20/07 Corban Crowther
M15 Bali
2-1 9-9 W
08/07 Taiyo Yamanaka
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
07/07 Taketo Takamisawa
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-1 11-12 W
30/06 Ryota Tanuma
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 6-13 L
29/04 Maxwell McKennon
M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L

Azuma Visaya

WWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/08 Kareem Abdul Hakim
M15 Bali
2-0 12-5 W
22/08 Mathieu Perchicot
ITF M25 Bali · Hard
1-2 9-15 L
20/08 Maximus Zavier Wong
ITF M25 Bali · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
18/08 Thomas Patton
ITF M25 Bali · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
17/08 Renaldi Aqila A Salim
ITF M25 Bali · Hard
2-0 13-6 W
27/07 Aniketh Venkataraman
M15 Bali
1-2 8-7 L
26/07 Jerall Yasin
M15 Bali Qual
2-0 12-1 W
22/07 Alexander Chang
M15 Bali
0-2 8-13 L
20/07 Tanapatt Nirundorn
M15 Bali
2-0 13-9 W
19/07 Kareem Abdul Hakim
M15 Bali
2-0 12-3 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ren Nakamura vs Azuma Visaya?

Our model gives 76% to Azuma Visaya, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.