Tennis · Challenger Porto · 01/09, 11:00
Prediction: Daniel Michalski vs Alejandro Moro Canas
Team pages: Daniel Michalski · Alejandro Moro Canas
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Michalski
Alejandro Moro Canas
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Michalski
10-0 (W-L)
Alejandro Moro Canas
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Michalski 1619 · Alejandro Moro Canas 1500
| Daniel Michalski | Alejandro Moro Canas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniel Michalski (rating 1619 vs 1500).
- Daniel Michalski is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Daniel Michalski | Alejandro Moro Canas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.2 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-6.2 | 11.8-12.5 |
| Aces | 2 | 6.3 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 77% | 71.1% |
| Break % | 64.3% | 26.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Michalski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Nikita Mashtakov M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/08 | Matyas Cerny M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/08 | Jan Wygona M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Franco Ribero M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/08 | Michael Agwi M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 9-2 | W |
| 22/08 | Jan Sadzik M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/08 | Tom Zeuch M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/08 | Lorenzo Berto M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/08 | Nikola Keremedchiev M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/08 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Todi · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
Alejandro Moro Canas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Remy Bertola US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Cancun · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 18/08 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/08 | Alexander Donski Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Robin Bertrand Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/07 | Oliver Crawford Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 25/06 | Soonwoo Kwon Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 13-19 | L |
| 24/06 | Harold Mayot Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Michalski vs Alejandro Moro Canas?
Our model gives 58% to Daniel Michalski, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.