Tennis · Challenger Porto · 01/09, 11:00
Prediction: Sean Cuenin vs Max Alcala Gurri
Team pages: Sean Cuenin · Max Alcala Gurri
Prediction summary
Winner
Sean Cuenin
Max Alcala Gurri
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Sean Cuenin
8-2 (W-L)
Max Alcala Gurri
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sean Cuenin 1606 · Max Alcala Gurri 1530
| Sean Cuenin | Max Alcala Gurri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sean Cuenin (rating 1606 vs 1530).
- Sean Cuenin is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Sean Cuenin | Max Alcala Gurri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 86% (7) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.4 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-8.1 | 10.7-8.7 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 77% | 67.7% |
| Break % | 52.3% | 48.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sean Cuenin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Prague · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 18/08 | Florian Broska Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/08 | Stefan Horia Haita M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 15/08 | Marat Sharipov M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/08 | Dusan Obradovic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/08 | Makoto Ochi M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/08 | Timofei Derepasko M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/07 | Alexander Weis M25 Uriage |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Daniel Jade M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 8-0 | W |
| 17/07 | Luca Wiedenmann M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Max Alcala Gurri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Zsombor Piros US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Martin Krumich Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 19/07 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/07 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 17/07 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/07 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Giorgio Tabacco Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/07 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sean Cuenin vs Max Alcala Gurri?
Our model gives 57% to Sean Cuenin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.