Tennis · Challenger Como · 02/09, 10:00
Prediction: Lorenzo Carboni vs Pedro Martinez
Team pages: Lorenzo Carboni · Pedro Martinez
Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Carboni
Pedro Martinez
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Carboni
6-4 (W-L)
Pedro Martinez
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lorenzo Carboni
0–1
Pedro Martinez
(1 last)
- 17 Oct0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Carboni 1527 · Pedro Martinez 1521
| Lorenzo Carboni | Pedro Martinez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Lorenzo Carboni 0–1 Pedro Martinez (1).
Statistics
| Lorenzo Carboni | Pedro Martinez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-7.9 | 9.9-9.9 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 67.7% | 57.8% |
| Break % | 55% | 37.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
H2H · Lorenzo Carboni 0 – 1 Pedro Martinez (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lorenzo Carboni 0–1 Pedro Martinez
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10/23 Challenger Olbia | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Carboni
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Lausanne |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Noah Karma M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/08 | Nicolas Ulrich M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/08 | Arthur Bellegy M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Daniel Michalski Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Maximilian Homberg Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/08 | Gabriele Maria Noce Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 04/08 | Petr Brunclik Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Gabriele Crivellaro M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Alessandro Dragoni M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Pedro Martinez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Daniil Glinka US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Valentin Royer Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/08 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 19/08 | Garrett Johns Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Evan Zhu Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/07 | Hugo Dellien Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Luciano Darderi ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Henrique Rocha ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 19/07 | Timofey Skatov ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Carboni vs Pedro Martinez?
Our model gives 60% to Pedro Martinez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.