Tennis · Challenger Como · 02/09, 10:00
Prediction: Federico Arnaboldi vs Federico Bondioli
Team pages: Federico Arnaboldi · Federico Bondioli
Prediction summary
Winner
Federico Arnaboldi
Federico Bondioli
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Federico Arnaboldi
7-3 (W-L)
Federico Bondioli
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Federico Arnaboldi 1506 · Federico Bondioli 1553
| Federico Arnaboldi | Federico Bondioli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Federico Bondioli (rating 1506 vs 1553).
Statistics
| Federico Arnaboldi | Federico Bondioli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-10.1 | 12-12 |
| Aces | 3 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.2% | 65.1% |
| Break % | 44.8% | 38.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Federico Arnaboldi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Gabriele Crivellaro Challenger Todi · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 05/08 | Leonardo Primucci M25 Fano |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Niccolo Ciavarella M25 Fano |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Sandro Kopp M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Giovanni Oradini M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 28/07 | Peter Buldorini M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/07 | Peetu Pohjola Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Daniel Salazar Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 28/06 | Giovanni Oradini M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 27/06 | Fausto Tabacco M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Federico Bondioli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Matyas Fuele Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/07 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 15/07 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 10/07 | Henry Bernet Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 09/07 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 30/06 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 20/06 | Adam Walton ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Federico Arnaboldi vs Federico Bondioli?
Our model gives 62% to Federico Bondioli, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.