Tennis · Challenger Zhangjiagang · 01/09, 04:00
Prediction: Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Elias Ymer
Team pages: Yu Hsiou Hsu · Elias Ymer
Prediction summary
Winner
Yu Hsiou Hsu
Elias Ymer
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Yu Hsiou Hsu
8-2 (W-L)
Elias Ymer
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Yu Hsiou Hsu
1–0
Elias Ymer
(1 last)
- 11 Jan2-0 14-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yu Hsiou Hsu 1578 · Elias Ymer 1457
| Yu Hsiou Hsu | Elias Ymer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yu Hsiou Hsu (rating 1578 vs 1457).
- Yu Hsiou Hsu is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Yu Hsiou Hsu 1–0 Elias Ymer (1).
Statistics
| Yu Hsiou Hsu | Elias Ymer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.6 | 0.6-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-8.2 | 9.2-11.9 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 68.1% | 69.1% |
| Break % | 50.1% | 29.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
H2H · Yu Hsiou Hsu 1 – 0 Elias Ymer (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yu Hsiou Hsu 1–0 Elias Ymer
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/23 Australian Open | 2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yu Hsiou Hsu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/08 | Masamichi Imamura M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/08 | Ryuki Matsuda M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Kuan-Shou Chen M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Kai-I Wang M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 29/07 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Toby Samuel Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Jay Friend Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Elias Ymer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Cristian Garin US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Franco Roncadelli US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Paul Jubb Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/08 | Federico Cina Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Trevor Svajda ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Timofey Skatov Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Nikoloz Basilashvili Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 16/06 | Henry Searle Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 08/06 | Ugo Humbert ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Elias Ymer?
Our model gives 62% to Yu Hsiou Hsu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.