Tennis · UTR Pro Miami Women · 02/09, 18:00
Prediction: Natalie Oliver vs Lexie Weir
Team pages: Natalie Oliver · Lexie Weir
Prediction summary
Winner
Natalie Oliver
Lexie Weir
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Natalie Oliver
3-7 (W-L)
Lexie Weir
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Natalie Oliver
0–1
Lexie Weir
(1 last)
- 25 Jul0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Natalie Oliver 1440 · Lexie Weir 1587
| Natalie Oliver | Lexie Weir | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 70% |
| Market | 10% | 90% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lexie Weir (rating 1440 vs 1587).
- Lexie Weir is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Natalie Oliver 0–1 Lexie Weir (1).
- Note: Natalie Oliver makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Natalie Oliver | Lexie Weir | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.6 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.7-11.4 | 11.8-7.2 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 2 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 57.6% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 50.1% | 52.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
H2H · Natalie Oliver 0 – 1 Lexie Weir (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Natalie Oliver 0–1 Lexie Weir
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/26 UTR Pro Tallahassee Women | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Natalie Oliver
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Sofia Rocchetti UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Viktoriia Dema UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/07 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Ariana Gilbert UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Riley Crowder UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/07 | My-Anh Holmes UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 21/07 | Isabella Camacho UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Oziera Ahmad UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Mary Grace Rennard UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Catherine Rennard UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Lexie Weir
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Viktoriia Dema UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/08 | Alina Shcherbinina UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Allison Isaacs UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 28/08 | Ella Piron UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 27/08 | Waverly Potter UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 26/08 | Josephine Lombardi UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 25/08 | Tereza Polakova UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/08 | Audrey Spencer UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 21/08 | Nao Nishino UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Amiya Bowles UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Natalie Oliver vs Lexie Weir?
Our model gives 81% to Lexie Weir, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.