Tennis · W15 Monastir · 29/08, 10:00
Prediction: Alexandra Vagramov vs Sofia Camila Rojas
Team pages: Alexandra Vagramov · Sofia Camila Rojas
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexandra Vagramov
Sofia Camila Rojas
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alexandra Vagramov
2-8 (W-L)
Sofia Camila Rojas
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexandra Vagramov 1511 · Sofia Camila Rojas 1557
| Alexandra Vagramov | Sofia Camila Rojas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sofia Camila Rojas (rating 1511 vs 1557).
- Note: Alexandra Vagramov makes many double faults (9.3/match).
Statistics
| Alexandra Vagramov | Sofia Camila Rojas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 100% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.4-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-12.2 | 10-7.4 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 9.3 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 62.5% | 64.7% |
| Break % | 48.5% | 47.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexandra Vagramov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Johanna Silva W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 27/08 | Kimia Sagheb Tehrani W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 26/08 | Juliette Mazzoni W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Madison Brengle WTA Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 22/07 | Lilian Poling W35 Saskatoon |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Sakura Hosogi W75 Granby |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Ekaterina Ovcharenko W75 Granby |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 02/07 | Maria Aytoyan W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/06 | Alexis Nguyen W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Thara Gowda W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
Sofia Camila Rojas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Aurora Nosei W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/08 | Zala Bizjak W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 26/08 | Ada Gergec W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/08 | Juliana Giaccio W15 Logrono |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Sofia Costoulas W35 Vigo |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Victoria Gomez O'Hayon W35 Vigo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Isabel Pascual Montalvo W35 Vigo |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Britt Du Pree W75 Ourense |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Aleksandra Iankovskaia W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 02/08 | Deva Raposo Serrano W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexandra Vagramov vs Sofia Camila Rojas?
Our model gives 55% to Sofia Camila Rojas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.