Prediction: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud
Team pages: Juan Manuel Cerundolo · Casper Ruud
Prediction summary
Winner
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Casper Ruud
Estimated games
26.1Bet365 line 37.5
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
4-6 (W-L)
Casper Ruud
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
2–1
Casper Ruud
(3 last)
- 05 Aug0-2 3-12L
- 17 Jul2-1 16-13W
- 18 Jul2-1 13-11W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Manuel Cerundolo 1508 · Casper Ruud 1521
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Casper Ruud | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Casper Ruud dominates on serve: 6.6 aces and 44.8% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Juan Manuel Cerundolo 2–1 Casper Ruud (3).
- Note: Casper Ruud makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Casper Ruud | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.5-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-12 | 16.3-16.2 |
| Aces | 5.9 | 6.6 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 77.2% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 30% | 44.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.1 · Bet365 line 37.5 · -11.4
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
H2H · Juan Manuel Cerundolo 2 – 1 Casper Ruud (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Juan Manuel Cerundolo 2–1 Casper Ruud
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08/26 ATP Montreal | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/07/26 ATP Gstaad | 2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 18/07/25 ATP Gstaad | 2-1 | 13-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Dhakshineswar Suresh ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/08 | Felix Auger Aliassime ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Arthur Rinderknech ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 14/08 | Mark Lajal ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/08 | Casper Ruud ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Hamad Medjedovic ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Raphael Collignon ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 17/07 | Casper Ruud ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 16/07 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Casper Ruud
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Joao Fonseca ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/07 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 16/07 | Jaime Faria ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 29/06 | Hubert Hurkacz Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 12-19 | L |
| 31/05 | Joao Fonseca French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 20-25 | L |
| 29/05 | Tommy Paul French Open · Clay |
3-2 | 30-28 | W |
| 27/05 | Hamad Medjedovic French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 18-9 | W |
| 25/05 | Roman Safiullin French Open · Clay |
3-2 | 24-23 | W |
| 22/05 | Mariano Navone ATP Geneva · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud?
Our model gives 66% to Casper Ruud, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.