Prediction: Dane Sweeny vs Corentin Moutet
Team pages: Dane Sweeny · Corentin Moutet
Prediction summary
Winner
Dane Sweeny
Corentin Moutet
Estimated games
25.5Bet365 line 36.5
Recent form · 10 last
Dane Sweeny
6-4 (W-L)
Corentin Moutet
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dane Sweeny 1463 · Corentin Moutet 1464
| Dane Sweeny | Corentin Moutet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Dane Sweeny makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Dane Sweeny | Corentin Moutet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | 50% (4) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.7 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-14.8 | 12.1-12.9 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 65.7% | 69.4% |
| Break % | 38.6% | 49.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.5 · Bet365 line 36.5 · -11
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dane Sweeny
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Jesper De Jong Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Christopher O'Connell ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 01/08 | Shintaro Mochizuki ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Duncan Chan Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Andres Martin Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 30/06 | Grigor Dimitrov Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 14-20 | L |
| 25/06 | Tomas Barrios Vera Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 23-24 | W |
| 22/06 | Franco Roncadelli Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
Corentin Moutet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Rafael Jodar ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 04/08 | Marton Fucsovics ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/07 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Marcos Giron Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-23 | L |
| 22/06 | Abedallah Shelbayh ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 09/06 | Nick Kyrgios ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Arthur Rinderknech Bonmont Tennis Masters · ~Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 05/06 | Stan Wawrinka Bonmont Tennis Masters · ~Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dane Sweeny vs Corentin Moutet?
Our model gives 65% to Corentin Moutet, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.