Tennis · W15 Monastir · 28/08, 10:30
Prediction: Clarissa Blomqvist vs Haruna Arakawa
Team pages: Clarissa Blomqvist · Haruna Arakawa
Prediction summary
Winner
Clarissa Blomqvist
Haruna Arakawa
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Clarissa Blomqvist
4-6 (W-L)
Haruna Arakawa
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Clarissa Blomqvist 1482 · Haruna Arakawa 1563
| Clarissa Blomqvist | Haruna Arakawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 13% | 87% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Haruna Arakawa (rating 1482 vs 1563).
- Haruna Arakawa is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Clarissa Blomqvist makes many double faults (6.8/match).
Statistics
| Clarissa Blomqvist | Haruna Arakawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (2) | 100% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.4-10 | 11.3-8.7 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0 |
| Double faults | 6.8 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 57.7% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 62% | 48% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Clarissa Blomqvist
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Emma Mazzoni W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-1 | W |
| 26/08 | Silvia Caliman W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/08 | Alice Soulie W15 Hameenlinna |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Emma Ottavia Ghirardato W15 Savitaipale |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Diae El Jardi W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Nour El Ouazzani W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/06 | Ksenia Krupenina W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
| 04/06 | Marta Soriano Santiago W15 Casablanca · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 03/06 | Delia Gaillard W15 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-11 | W |
| 14/05 | Jasmijn Gimbrere W35 Bastad · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Haruna Arakawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Luisa Schruff W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Ophelia Korpanec Davies W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 16/08 | Asylzhan Arystanbekova W15 Astana |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/08 | Ha Eum Lee W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/08 | Zeel Desai W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/08 | Nina Sozaonova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 12/08 | Sreemanya Reddy Anugonda W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 06/08 | Anna Bazderova W15 Astana |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Liel Marlies Rothensteiner W15 Astana |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 19/07 | Junri Namigata UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Clarissa Blomqvist vs Haruna Arakawa?
Our model gives 75% to Haruna Arakawa, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.