Tennis · M15 Allershausen · 28/08, 11:00

Prediction: Thiago Cigarran vs William Rejchtman Vinciguerra

Team pages: Thiago Cigarran · William Rejchtman Vinciguerra

Prediction summary
Winner
55% 45%
Thiago Cigarran William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Thiago Cigarran 4-6 (W-L)
WWLWLLLLLW
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra 4-6 (W-L)
WLLLWLLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Thiago Cigarran 1562 · William Rejchtman Vinciguerra 1514
Thiago CigarranWilliam Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Our model57%43%
Market54%46%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thiago Cigarran (rating 1562 vs 1514).
  • Note: William Rejchtman Vinciguerra makes many double faults (4.3/match).

Statistics

Thiago CigarranWilliam Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Win %70%60%
Win % · Clay 67% (3) 50% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.91.5-1.1
Games (G-P)12.1-10.812.1-11.4
Aces1.53.3
Double faults2.24.3
1st serve %64.1%66.5%
Break %44.8%46.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Thiago Cigarran

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/08 Frederic Schlossmann
M15 Allershausen
2-0 12-5 W
25/08 Thanaphat Boosarawongse
M15 Allershausen
2-1 17-13 W
18/08 Lorenzo Giustino
Challenger Sion · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
17/08 Luca Wiedenmann
Challenger Sion · Clay
2-1 14-13 W
16/08 Michael Zhu
Challenger Sion · Clay
2-1 17-13 W
13/08 Adrian Oetzbach
M15 Trier
0-2 7-12 L
12/08 Ronald Hohmann
M15 Trier
2-0 14-11 W
18/07 Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
M15 Villa Constitucion
0-2 9-13 L
17/07 Murkel Dellien
M15 Villa Constitucion
2-0 12-8 W
14/07 Santiago Lora
M15 Villa Constitucion
2-0 12-8 W

William Rejchtman Vinciguerra

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/08 Niklas Waldner
M15 Allershausen
2-0 12-5 W
26/08 Louis Van Herck
M15 Allershausen
2-1 15-17 W
20/08 Jan Simonsson
M15 Bastad · ~Clay
1-2 12-17 L
20/08 Victor Ryden
M15 Bastad · ~Clay
2-1 12-10 W
13/08 Victor Ryden
M15 Malmo
1-2 11-16 L
12/08 Filip Soderqvist
M15 Malmo
2-0 13-7 W
02/08 Franco Ribero
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
1-2 11-13 L
28/07 Petr Brunclik
Challenger Liberec · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
27/07 Daniel Siniakov
Challenger Liberec · Clay
2-1 17-12 W
26/07 S D Prajwal Dev
Challenger Liberec · Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Thiago Cigarran vs William Rejchtman Vinciguerra?

Our model gives 55% to Thiago Cigarran, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.