Tennis · W15 Monastir · 27/08, 09:00

Prediction: Eloise Newberry vs Aurora Nosei

Team pages: Eloise Newberry · Aurora Nosei

Prediction summary
Winner
28% 72%
Eloise Newberry Aurora Nosei
Estimated games
19.2
Recent form · 10 last
Eloise Newberry 1-9 (W-L)
LLLLLLLLWL
Aurora Nosei 4-6 (W-L)
LLWWLWLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Eloise Newberry 1479 · Aurora Nosei 1495
Eloise NewberryAurora Nosei
Our model48%52%
Market12%88%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Eloise NewberryAurora Nosei
Win %30%50%
Win % · Hard 50% (6) 100% (1)
Sets (G-P)0.6-1.61.1-1.1
Games (G-P)7.2-10.99.7-9.1
Aces1.50.1
Double faults3.93.3
1st serve %64.7%54.5%
Break %37.6%63.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Eloise Newberry

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/08 Natsuho Arakawa
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 15-12 W
25/08 Elizaveta Smirnova
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
26/07 Matilde Mariani
W35 Aldershot
0-2 5-12 L
12/07 Mia Wainwright
W50 Nottingham
0-2 2-12 L
08/07 Sadjo Coulibaly
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
07/07 Martyna Zaremba
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 10-10 W
26/05 Matilde Mariani
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
18/05 Emira Diabate
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
04/05 Mia Wainwright
W35 Nottingham Qual
0-2 10-13 L
26/04 Lilian Poling
W35 Nottingham
0-2 2-12 L

Aurora Nosei

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/08 Sana Garakani
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
21/07 Darina Matvejeva
W15 Cluj Napoca
0-2 3-12 L
09/06 Sofia Rocchetti
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
05/06 Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni
W15 Focsani · ~Clay
0-2 5-13 L
04/06 Andreea Diana Soare
W15 Focsani · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
21/05 Eleonora Alvisi
W15 Grado · ~Clay
1-2 15-16 L
20/05 Barbara Dessolis
W15 Grado · ~Clay
2-0 13-6 W
19/05 Zoe Kaegi
W15 Grado · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
07/05 Daria Yesypchuk
W15 Kalmar · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
06/05 Alexandra Biot
W15 Kalmar · ~Clay
2-1 14-10 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Eloise Newberry vs Aurora Nosei?

Our model gives 72% to Aurora Nosei, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.