Tennis · W35 Barueri · 27/08, 16:00
Prediction: Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca vs Carolina Alves
Team pages: Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca · Carolina Alves
Prediction summary
Winner
Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca
Carolina Alves
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca
4-6 (W-L)
Carolina Alves
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca 1466 · Carolina Alves 1603
| Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca | Carolina Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 69% |
| Market | 8% | 92% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carolina Alves (rating 1466 vs 1603).
- Carolina Alves is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca | Carolina Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.3 | 1.6-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-10.9 | 11.3-7.1 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 56.4% | 66.4% |
| Break % | 58.5% | 44.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Giulia Gomes Ferreira W35 Barueri |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Bianca M B Bia Bernardes W35 Barueri |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/06 | Maria Florencia Urrutia W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Josefina Estevez W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 02/06 | Maria Luisa Oliveira W15 Brasilia |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/05 | Paola Lopez W35 Boca Raton |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/11 | Vlada Kozak ITF W15 Ribeirao Preto · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/11 | Luana Plaza ITF W15 Mogi das Cruzes · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/11 | Giovanna Aude ITF W15 Criciuma |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 21/10 | Sada Nahimana WTA Florianopolis · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Carolina Alves
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Maria Jose Sanchez Uribe W35 Barueri |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/08 | Victoria Bosio W35 Pergamino |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 01/08 | Giorgia Pedone W35 Pergamino |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/07 | Fernanda Labrana W35 Pergamino |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/07 | Isabella Barrera Aguirre W35 Pergamino |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Julia Konishi Camargo Silva W35 Pergamino |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 23/07 | Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva W75 Vacaria |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/07 | Oceane Babel W35 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Berta Bonardi W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca vs Carolina Alves?
Our model gives 81% to Carolina Alves, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.