Tennis · W35 Trieste · 27/08, 13:00
Prediction: Pia Lovric vs Martina Colmegna
Team pages: Pia Lovric · Martina Colmegna
Prediction summary
Winner
Pia Lovric
Martina Colmegna
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Pia Lovric
8-2 (W-L)
Martina Colmegna
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Pia Lovric
2–0
Martina Colmegna
(2 last)
- 16 May2-1 15-14W
- 12 Oct2-1 15-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pia Lovric 1585 · Martina Colmegna 1485
| Pia Lovric | Martina Colmegna | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pia Lovric (rating 1585 vs 1485).
- Head-to-head: Pia Lovric 2–0 Martina Colmegna (2).
Statistics
| Pia Lovric | Martina Colmegna | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.6 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-6.2 | 9.5-9.8 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 3 | 0.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64.2% | 55.3% |
| Break % | 58.5% | 52.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
H2H · Pia Lovric 2 – 0 Martina Colmegna (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pia Lovric 2–0 Martina Colmegna
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 W15 Klagenfurt | 2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 12/10/19 ITF W15 Tabarka | 2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pia Lovric
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Amarissa Kiara Toth W35 Trieste |
2-0 | 10-2 | W |
| 24/08 | Marie Vogt W35 Trieste |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/08 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar W50 Prague |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 19/08 | Vivian Wolff W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/08 | Aneta Laboutkova W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/08 | Polina Bakhmutkina W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/08 | Klara Kajabova W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Francesca Curmi W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Lavinia Tanasie W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Luisa Fusil W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Martina Colmegna
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Amelie Justine Hejtmanek W35 Trieste |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Marianne Argyrokastriti W35 Trieste |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 22/07 | Nuria Brancaccio W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Sofia Rocchetti W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Barbora Palicova WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 12/07 | Barbora Palicova WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Jenny Lim W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Nellie Taraba Wallberg W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Nina Vargova W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Ekaterina Perelygina W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pia Lovric vs Martina Colmegna?
Our model gives 64% to Pia Lovric, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.