Tennis · US Open · 27/08, 17:00

Prediction: Zsombor Piros vs Christopher O'Connell

Team pages: Zsombor Piros · Christopher O'Connell

Prediction summary
Winner
48% 52%
Zsombor Piros Christopher O'Connell
Estimated games
21.5Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Zsombor Piros 8-2 (W-L)
WWWLWWWLWW
Christopher O'Connell 4-6 (W-L)
LLLLLWWLWW
Head-to-head
Zsombor Piros 2–1 Christopher O'Connell (3 last)
  • 25 Jul2-0 12-7W
  • 15 Apr2-0 12-6W
  • 17 Aug0-2 8-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zsombor Piros 1589 · Christopher O'Connell 1543
Zsombor PirosChristopher O'Connell
Our model57%43%
Market41%59%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zsombor Piros (rating 1589 vs 1543).
  • Head-to-head: Zsombor Piros 2–1 Christopher O'Connell (3).

Statistics

Zsombor PirosChristopher O'Connell
Win %80%60%
Win % · Hard 100% (2) 67% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.51.3-1.1
Games (G-P)12-8.112-11.5
Aces3.96
Double faults2.31.9
1st serve %66.7%76.2%
Break %55.5%34.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.5 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -1
Over 22.5: 43% · 1.90 Under 22.5: 57% · 1.80

H2H · Zsombor Piros 21 Christopher O'Connell (3)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Zsombor Piros 21 Christopher O'Connell

Swipe the table sideways →

DateSetsGamesRes.
25/07/23
ATP Umag
2-012-7W
15/04/23
Challenger Split
2-012-6W
17/08/19
Challenger Cordenons
0-28-13L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zsombor Piros

WWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/08 Daniil Glinka
US Open · Hard
2-1 17-14 W
25/08 Max Alcala Gurri
US Open · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
08/08 Tom Gentzsch
Challenger Hagen · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
07/08 Guy Den Ouden
Challenger Hagen · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
05/08 Diego Dedura-Palomero
Challenger Hagen · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
04/08 Daniel Rincon
Challenger Hagen · Clay
2-0 13-6 W
22/07 Max Hans Rehberg
Challenger Zug · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
12/07 Titouan Droguet
Challenger Iasi · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
11/07 Jerome Kym
Challenger Iasi · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
10/07 Lautaro Midon
Challenger Iasi · Clay
2-0 13-8 W

Christopher O'Connell

WWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/08 Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
US Open · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
25/08 Stefanos Sakellaridis
US Open · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
20/08 Taylor Fritz
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
14/08 Kamil Majchrzak
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
13/08 Alexander Shevchenko
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
11/08 Dane Sweeny
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-1 19-14 W
03/08 James Duckworth
ATP Montreal · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
01/08 Jaime Faria
ATP Montreal · Hard
2-1 18-13 W
25/07 Andres Martin
ATP Washington · Hard
1-2 11-16 L
25/06 Mackenzie McDonald
Wimbledon · Grass
0-3 11-18 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zsombor Piros vs Christopher O'Connell?

Our model gives 52% to Christopher O'Connell, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.