Prediction: Otto Virtanen vs Grigor Dimitrov
Team pages: Otto Virtanen · Grigor Dimitrov
Prediction summary
Winner
Otto Virtanen
Grigor Dimitrov
Estimated games
24.7Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Otto Virtanen
5-5 (W-L)
Grigor Dimitrov
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Otto Virtanen 1526 · Grigor Dimitrov 1539
| Otto Virtanen | Grigor Dimitrov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Otto Virtanen dominates on serve: 8.5 aces and 45.5% break avg.
- Grigor Dimitrov dominates on serve: 10.3 aces and 43.1% break avg.
- Note: Otto Virtanen makes many double faults (4.9/match).
- Note: Grigor Dimitrov makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Otto Virtanen | Grigor Dimitrov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.8-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-10.4 | 16.1-15 |
| Aces | 8.5 | 10.3 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 5.1 |
| 1st serve % | 76.2% | 74.2% |
| Break % | 45.5% | 43.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.7 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +2.2
Over 22.5: 65% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 35% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Otto Virtanen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Jack Pinnington Jones US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 24/08 | Ugo Blanchet US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/08 | Moez Echargui Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/08 | Coleman Wong ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 11/08 | Vignesh Gogineni ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Timofey Skatov Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Filippo Romano Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/07 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 25/07 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Grigor Dimitrov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Timofey Skatov US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/08 | Lorenzo Giustino US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/08 | Sebastian Baez ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Nuno Borges ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Dalibor Svrcina ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 06/07 | Arthur Fery Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 27-27 | L |
| 04/07 | Matteo Berrettini Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 26-23 | W |
| 02/07 | Jakub Mensik Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 24-20 | W |
| 30/06 | Dane Sweeny Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 20-14 | W |
| 25/06 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Otto Virtanen vs Grigor Dimitrov?
Our model gives 61% to Grigor Dimitrov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.