Tennis · M25 Maribor · 27/08, 10:00
Prediction: Aljaz Jeran vs Andrea De Marchi
Team pages: Aljaz Jeran · Andrea De Marchi
Prediction summary
Winner
Aljaz Jeran
Andrea De Marchi
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Aljaz Jeran
6-4 (W-L)
Andrea De Marchi
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aljaz Jeran 1518 · Andrea De Marchi 1572
| Aljaz Jeran | Andrea De Marchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andrea De Marchi (rating 1518 vs 1572).
- Andrea De Marchi is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Aljaz Jeran | Andrea De Marchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-8.4 | 10.5-8.4 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 65.4% | 63.4% |
| Break % | 54.7% | 44.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aljaz Jeran
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Maj Premzl M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/08 | Valerio Aboian M25 Slovenj Gradec |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Cezar Gabriel Papoe M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 09/07 | Christopher Thies M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Dario Alexandru Ciobotaru M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/07 | Niccolo Baroni M15 Store |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Bor Artnak M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 25/06 | John Hallquist Lithen M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Jonas Gundacker M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Lilian Marmousez M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
Andrea De Marchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Mattias Pisanu M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/08 | Samuele Seghetti M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Blu Baker M25 Lesa |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Francesco Forti M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 9-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Veljko Krstic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/08 | Niksa Arsic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/07 | Marko Maksimovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Savva Rybkin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Kristijan Juhas M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/07 | Lorenzo Comino M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aljaz Jeran vs Andrea De Marchi?
Our model gives 67% to Andrea De Marchi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.