Tennis · M25 Lausanne · 27/08, 10:00
Prediction: Pierluigi Basile vs Florent Lagarrigue
Team pages: Pierluigi Basile · Florent Lagarrigue
Prediction summary
Winner
Pierluigi Basile
Florent Lagarrigue
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Pierluigi Basile
7-3 (W-L)
Florent Lagarrigue
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pierluigi Basile 1603 · Florent Lagarrigue 1487
| Pierluigi Basile | Florent Lagarrigue | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pierluigi Basile (rating 1603 vs 1487).
- Pierluigi Basile is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Pierluigi Basile | Florent Lagarrigue | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.7 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-9.5 | 10-8.7 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 73.2% | 68.5% |
| Break % | 46.2% | 46.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pierluigi Basile
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Filippo Valdetara M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/08 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Lesa |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 23/08 | Alexander Weis M25 Lesa |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 22/08 | Nico Hipfl M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/08 | Lorenzo Comino M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/08 | Lorenzo Beraldo M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/08 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Todi · Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 19/07 | Daniele Rapagnetta M15 Gubbio |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 17/07 | Lorenzo Beraldo M15 Gubbio |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
Florent Lagarrigue
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Johan Nikles M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/08 | Loris Gander M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/08 | Jarno Ethan Peterhans M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/05 | Raphael Perot M25 Deauville · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Yannick Baluska M25 Deauville · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/04 | Aljaz Jeran M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-9 | L |
| 08/04 | Aziz Ouakaa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/04 | Maximilian Figl M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/03 | Lenny Couturier M25 Saint Dizier · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/03 | Alexandre Reco M15 Poitiers · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pierluigi Basile vs Florent Lagarrigue?
Our model gives 79% to Pierluigi Basile, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.