Tennis · M25 Lausanne · 27/08, 10:00
Prediction: Alexander Weis vs Adrien Burdet
Team pages: Alexander Weis · Adrien Burdet
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Weis
Adrien Burdet
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Weis
6-4 (W-L)
Adrien Burdet
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Weis 1557 · Adrien Burdet 1553
| Alexander Weis | Adrien Burdet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Adrien Burdet makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Alexander Weis | Adrien Burdet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-10.2 | 10.1-10.3 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 67.9% | 66.8% |
| Break % | 56% | 42.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Weis
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Oscar Blardone M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/08 | Pierluigi Basile M25 Lesa |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 22/08 | Giovanni Oradini M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/08 | Kasra Rahmani M25 Lesa |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 18/08 | Niccolo Catini M25 Lesa |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 11/08 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/08 | Jesse Delaney Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/07 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Vladyslav Orlov M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Adrien Burdet
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Mateo Fluri M25 Lausanne |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 10/08 | Leonardo Borrelli M25 Muttenz |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Laurin Aerne M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Izan Orgiles Garcia Retamero M25 Gandia |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Christian Djonov M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-0 | 13-12 | W |
| 16/06 | Andrej Martin M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 15/06 | Adrien Berrut M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 8-7 | W |
| 14/06 | Leandro Zgraggen M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 27/05 | Filippo Mazzola M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Elias Sumann M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Weis vs Adrien Burdet?
Our model gives 72% to Alexander Weis, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.