Tennis · M15 Bucharest · 27/08, 09:00
Prediction: Matteo Vavassori vs Sebastian Gima
Team pages: Matteo Vavassori · Sebastian Gima
Prediction summary
Winner
Matteo Vavassori
Sebastian Gima
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Matteo Vavassori
4-6 (W-L)
Sebastian Gima
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matteo Vavassori 1532 · Sebastian Gima 1477
| Matteo Vavassori | Sebastian Gima | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matteo Vavassori (rating 1532 vs 1477).
Statistics
| Matteo Vavassori | Sebastian Gima | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-9.2 | 10-11.3 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 64.5% | 64% |
| Break % | 42.5% | 38.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matteo Vavassori
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Andre Meinertz M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/08 | Luc Wieland M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Giacomo Crisostomo M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Filiberto Fumagalli M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 14/06 | Oren Ezerzer M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/05 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Matteo Mura M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/03 | Edoardo Zanada M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/02 | Alessandro Spadola M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-1 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/01 | Bautista Vilicich M25 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Sebastian Gima
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Rares Andrei Golescu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-2 | W |
| 20/08 | Tudor Batin M15 Arad |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 19/08 | Giovanni Ciocca M15 Arad |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Francesco Ferrari M25 Pitesti |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Matei Florin Breazu M25 Bacau |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Gabriele Thomas Brancatelli M25 Bacau |
2-1 | 17-9 | W |
| 30/06 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Radu Albot Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 23/06 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matteo Vavassori vs Sebastian Gima?
Our model gives 65% to Sebastian Gima, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.