Tennis · UTR Pro Gold Coast · 27/08, 01:00
Prediction: Elijah Cham vs Alexey Shtengelov
Team pages: Elijah Cham · Alexey Shtengelov
Prediction summary
Winner
Elijah Cham
Alexey Shtengelov
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Elijah Cham
8-2 (W-L)
Alexey Shtengelov
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elijah Cham 1531 · Alexey Shtengelov 1404
| Elijah Cham | Alexey Shtengelov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 92% | 8% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Elijah Cham (rating 1531 vs 1404).
- Elijah Cham is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Alexey Shtengelov makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Elijah Cham | Alexey Shtengelov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 13% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 0.3-1.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-9.8 | 6.8-12.9 |
| Aces | 1 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 68.2% | 58.4% |
| Break % | 54.5% | 25.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elijah Cham
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Elijah Dikkenberg UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Cody Atkinson UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/08 | Casey Hoole UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Jera Staley UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/08 | Enzo Aguiard UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 20/08 | James Girdler UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/08 | Cody Atkinson UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/08 | Kuma Ito UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/08 | Casey Hoole UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
Alexey Shtengelov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Arjun Balakrishnan UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Alec Braund UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Alec Braund UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Jera Staley UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Clint Charles UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 14/10 | Remy Bertola M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Giovanni Oradini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Lucca C Pignaton UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Tomislav Edward Papac UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Noah Brownrigg UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elijah Cham vs Alexey Shtengelov?
Our model gives 81% to Elijah Cham, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.