Tennis · ATP Winston-Salem · 26/08, 21:30
Prediction: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Sebastian Baez
Team pages: Juan Manuel Cerundolo · Sebastian Baez
Prediction summary
Winner
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Sebastian Baez
Estimated games
22Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
4-6 (W-L)
Sebastian Baez
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
1–3
Sebastian Baez
(4 last)
- 23 Oct0-2 3-12L
- 15 Oct0-2 7-12L
- 29 Nov0-2 9-13L
- 06 Oct2-1 14-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Manuel Cerundolo 1536 · Sebastian Baez 1556
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Sebastian Baez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 43% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Juan Manuel Cerundolo 1–3 Sebastian Baez (4).
Statistics
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Sebastian Baez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-12 | 10.9-10.7 |
| Aces | 5.9 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 77.2% | 69.1% |
| Break % | 30% | 52.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -0.5
Over 22.5: 46% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 54% · 1.83
H2H · Juan Manuel Cerundolo 1 – 3 Sebastian Baez (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Juan Manuel Cerundolo 1–3 Sebastian Baez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10/21 Challenger Buenos Aires | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/10/21 Challenger Santiago | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/11/20 Challenger Campinas | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/10/19 ITF M15 Santiago | 2-1 | 14-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Dhakshineswar Suresh ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/08 | Felix Auger Aliassime ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Arthur Rinderknech ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 14/08 | Mark Lajal ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/08 | Casper Ruud ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Hamad Medjedovic ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Raphael Collignon ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 17/07 | Casper Ruud ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 16/07 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Sebastian Baez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Hugo Grenier ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/08 | Hubert Hurkacz Challenger Cancun · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 23/08 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/08 | Coleman Wong Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/08 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/08 | Learner Tien ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Grigor Dimitrov ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 05/08 | Zizou Bergs ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 04/08 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/07 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Sebastian Baez?
Our model gives 55% to Sebastian Baez, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.