Tennis · WTA Monterrey · 26/08, 23:00
Prediction: Maria Timofeeva vs Ann Li
Team pages: Maria Timofeeva · Ann Li
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Timofeeva
Ann Li
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Timofeeva
6-4 (W-L)
Ann Li
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Maria Timofeeva
0–3
Ann Li
(3 last)
- 14 Jul0-2 3-12L
- 19 May0-2 8-13L
- 29 Jan0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Timofeeva 1542 · Ann Li 1496
| Maria Timofeeva | Ann Li | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 40% | 60% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maria Timofeeva (rating 1542 vs 1496).
- Maria Timofeeva is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Maria Timofeeva 0–3 Ann Li (3).
Statistics
| Maria Timofeeva | Ann Li | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.2 | 9.9-10.5 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 62.5% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 45.5% | 52.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
H2H · Maria Timofeeva 0 – 3 Ann Li (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maria Timofeeva 0–3 Ann Li
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07/26 WTA Athens | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/05/25 WTA Rabat | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/01/25 WTA Singapore | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Timofeeva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Shuai Zhang WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/08 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 22/08 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 23/07 | Sara Bejlek WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Ann Li WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Elise Mertens Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 30/06 | Beatriz Haddad Maia Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Heather Watson Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Veronika Podrez Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Ann Li
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Maria Camila Osorio WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/08 | Coco Gauff WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Shuai Zhang WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Elena Rybakina WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Kayla Cross WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/07 | Magdalena Frech WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Alina Korneeva WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/06 | Zeynep Sonmez Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 23/06 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Timofeeva vs Ann Li?
Our model gives 53% to Ann Li, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.