Tennis · W35 Trieste · 27/08, 10:00
Prediction: Amarissa Kiara Toth vs Pia Lovric
Team pages: Amarissa Kiara Toth · Pia Lovric
Prediction summary
Winner
Amarissa Kiara Toth
Pia Lovric
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Amarissa Kiara Toth
5-5 (W-L)
Pia Lovric
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Amarissa Kiara Toth
2–0
Pia Lovric
(2 last)
- 01 Mar2-0 13-9W
- 09 Feb2-0 13-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Amarissa Kiara Toth 1491 · Pia Lovric 1558
| Amarissa Kiara Toth | Pia Lovric | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pia Lovric (rating 1491 vs 1558).
- Head-to-head: Amarissa Kiara Toth 2–0 Pia Lovric (2).
Statistics
| Amarissa Kiara Toth | Pia Lovric | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-10 | 10.2-7.3 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 59.9% | 63.6% |
| Break % | 57.6% | 61.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
H2H · Amarissa Kiara Toth 2 – 0 Pia Lovric (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Amarissa Kiara Toth 2–0 Pia Lovric
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/25 W35 Antalya | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/02/22 W15 Antalya | 2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Amarissa Kiara Toth
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Eleonora Alvisi W35 Trieste |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/07 | Jennifer Ruggeri WTA Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 25/06 | Daria Kuczer W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 23/06 | Laura Hietaranta W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/06 | Chloe Paquet WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Dalila Jakupovic W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 10/06 | Caroline Werner W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/05 | Carlota Martinez Cirez W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 21/05 | Tilwith Di Girolami W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 20/05 | Kaja Najzer W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Pia Lovric
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Marie Vogt W35 Trieste |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/08 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar W50 Prague |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 19/08 | Vivian Wolff W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/08 | Aneta Laboutkova W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/08 | Polina Bakhmutkina W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/08 | Klara Kajabova W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Francesca Curmi W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Lavinia Tanasie W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Luisa Fusil W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/07 | Gabriela Ce W35 Torino |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Amarissa Kiara Toth vs Pia Lovric?
Our model gives 52% to Pia Lovric, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.