Tennis · W15 Monastir · 26/08, 10:00
Prediction: Natsuho Arakawa vs Eloise Newberry
Team pages: Natsuho Arakawa · Eloise Newberry
Prediction summary
Winner
Natsuho Arakawa
Eloise Newberry
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Natsuho Arakawa
4-6 (W-L)
Eloise Newberry
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Natsuho Arakawa 1536 · Eloise Newberry 1448
| Natsuho Arakawa | Eloise Newberry | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Natsuho Arakawa (rating 1536 vs 1448).
- Natsuho Arakawa is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Eloise Newberry makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Natsuho Arakawa | Eloise Newberry | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 0.4-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.1 | 6.7-11.1 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 62.6% |
| Break % | 38.2% | 37.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Natsuho Arakawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Amy Stevens W15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 30/07 | Ya-Yi Yang W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Julie Adele Bedard W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/07 | Destanee Aiava W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Chia Yi Tsao W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 24/07 | Maiko Uchijima W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/07 | Belle Thompson W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 22/07 | Lily Fairclough W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Stefani Webb W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Mayuka Aikawa W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Eloise Newberry
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Elizaveta Smirnova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/07 | Matilde Mariani W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Mia Wainwright W50 Nottingham |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Sadjo Coulibaly W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Martyna Zaremba W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 26/05 | Matilde Mariani W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Emira Diabate W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Mia Wainwright W35 Nottingham Qual |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/04 | Lilian Poling W35 Nottingham |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/04 | Alba Rey Garcia W50 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Natsuho Arakawa vs Eloise Newberry?
Our model gives 77% to Natsuho Arakawa, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.