Tennis · M25 Poznan · 26/08, 10:00
Prediction: Milosz Sroka vs Matyas Cerny
Team pages: Milosz Sroka · Matyas Cerny
Prediction summary
Winner
Milosz Sroka
Matyas Cerny
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Milosz Sroka
4-6 (W-L)
Matyas Cerny
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Milosz Sroka 1480 · Matyas Cerny 1496
| Milosz Sroka | Matyas Cerny | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 7% | 93% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Milosz Sroka | Matyas Cerny | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.2 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.2-9.2 | 9.1-9.4 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 63.4% | 65.1% |
| Break % | 37.3% | 37.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Milosz Sroka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Oliwier Sterniczuk M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Daniel De Jonge M15 Dublin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Dorian Kos M15 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Georgios Mitalas M15 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Adam Kaczmarek M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 17/03 | Justas Trainauskas M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/03 | Filippo Mazzola M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/12 | Georgii Kravchenko M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/12 | Cedric Stanke M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 7-2 | W |
| 12/11 | Izan Almazan Valiente M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Matyas Cerny
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Radu Mihai Papoe Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Dusan Obradovic Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Liberec · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 05/07 | Ignacio Carou Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 04/07 | Luca Castagnola M15 Umag · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Pietro Orlando Fellin M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Jou-George Gnjidic M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Leonardo Angeloni M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/06 | Alexander Weis Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Georgii Kravchenko M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Milosz Sroka vs Matyas Cerny?
Our model gives 75% to Matyas Cerny, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.