Tennis · M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 26/08, 10:00
Prediction: Esteban Talavera Cortes vs Andrea Motta
Team pages: Esteban Talavera Cortes · Andrea Motta
Prediction summary
Winner
Esteban Talavera Cortes
Andrea Motta
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Esteban Talavera Cortes
2-8 (W-L)
Andrea Motta
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Esteban Talavera Cortes 1458 · Andrea Motta 1502
| Esteban Talavera Cortes | Andrea Motta | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andrea Motta (rating 1458 vs 1502).
Statistics
| Esteban Talavera Cortes | Andrea Motta | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.6 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-12.1 | 10.5-10.1 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 62.9% | 66.9% |
| Break % | 48.4% | 49.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Esteban Talavera Cortes
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Stefan Horia Haita M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 18/08 | Oscar Brown M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 29/07 | Carlos Lopez Montagud M15 Xativa |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Amaan Siddiqui M15 Xativa |
2-1 | 9-11 | W |
| 22/07 | Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento M25 Denia |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Alejandro Juan Mano M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Mario Arce Fernandez M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Mustapha El Natour M25 Martos · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Sergio R Pereira UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Andrea Motta
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Caheer Warik M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/08 | Anton Arzhankin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Maksim Despotovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Franco Ariel Vazquez M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 11/08 | Vuk Radjenovic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Ansar Niyetkaliyev M15 Astana |
1-2 | 11-11 | L |
| 27/07 | Rafael Giotis M15 Astana |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 06/05 | Lorenzo Bocchi M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 10/02 | Vlad Andrei Dancu M25 Antalya · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-8 | L |
| 04/02 | Alexander Wagner M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Esteban Talavera Cortes vs Andrea Motta?
Our model gives 64% to Andrea Motta, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.