Tennis · M15 Hurghada · 26/08, 08:00

Prediction: Karim Ibrahim vs Andrea Bacaloni

Team pages: Andrea Bacaloni

Prediction summary
Winner
52% 48%
Karim Ibrahim Andrea Bacaloni
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Karim Ibrahim 6-4 (W-L)
WWLWWLLWWL
Andrea Bacaloni 4-6 (W-L)
LLLLWWWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Karim Ibrahim 1527 · Andrea Bacaloni 1525
Karim IbrahimAndrea Bacaloni
Our model50%50%
Market54%46%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Karim Ibrahim dominates on serve: 8 aces and 43.2% break avg.

Statistics

Karim IbrahimAndrea Bacaloni
Win %60%60%
Win % · Clay 60% (10) 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.81.4-1.1
Games (G-P)11-9.510.4-9.2
Aces81.2
Double faults2.32.7
1st serve %77.3%63.2%
Break %43.2%48.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Karim Ibrahim

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/05 Markus Molder
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
21/05 Shanker Heisnam
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W
20/05 Karim El Feky
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
13/05 Fares Zakaria
M25 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
08/05 Filippo Francesco Garbero
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 7-10 L
07/05 Arjun Rathi
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
06/05 Viktor Frydrych
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
01/05 Michael Gloeckler
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
1-2 13-17 L
30/04 Vesa Ahti
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
29/04 Ivan Gretskiy
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 14-11 W

Andrea Bacaloni

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/08 Makar Krivoshchekov
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
18/08 Kevin Edengren
M15 Bastad · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
13/08 Oskari Paldanius
M15 Turku
0-2 4-12 L
12/08 Jeri Lassila
M15 Turku
2-0 12-6 W
11/08 Felix Alopaeus
M15 Turku
2-1 13-11 W
10/08 Aatu Niemelae
M15 Turku
2-0 12-5 W
03/08 Edoardo Betti
M25 Fano
1-2 9-11 L
14/07 Pietro Marino
M15 Gubbio
1-2 13-15 L
13/07 Edoardo De Filippo
M15 Gubbio
2-1 12-8 W
07/07 Togan Tokac
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 10-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Karim Ibrahim vs Andrea Bacaloni?

Our model gives 52% to Karim Ibrahim, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.