Tennis · WTA Philadelphia · 25/08, 20:00
Prediction: Anastasia Zakharova vs Kylie Collins
Team pages: Anastasia Zakharova · Kylie Collins
Prediction summary
Winner
Anastasia Zakharova
Kylie Collins
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Anastasia Zakharova
8-2 (W-L)
Kylie Collins
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anastasia Zakharova 1580 · Kylie Collins 1524
| Anastasia Zakharova | Kylie Collins | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anastasia Zakharova (rating 1580 vs 1524).
- Note: Kylie Collins makes many double faults (11.9/match).
Statistics
| Anastasia Zakharova | Kylie Collins | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.6 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-8.2 | 11.7-9.7 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 11.9 |
| 1st serve % | 59.9% | 65.2% |
| Break % | 40.8% | 48.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anastasia Zakharova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Anna Blinkova WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 11/08 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Hanne Vandewinkel W100 Landisville |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 09/08 | Katrina Scott W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/08 | Ayana Akli W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Fiona Crawley W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/08 | Tatiana Prozorova W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/08 | Renata Zarazua WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Maria Camila Osorio WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/07 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Kylie Collins
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Jaeda Daniel WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/08 | Carolyn Ansari W100 Landisville |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 01/08 | Anastasia Kulikova W75 Lexington |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 31/07 | Sara Saito W75 Lexington |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 30/07 | Malaika Rapolu W75 Lexington |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 28/07 | Ena Koike W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Rebecca Marino W75 Granby |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Mia Slama W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Katie Volynets WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Alana Smith WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anastasia Zakharova vs Kylie Collins?
Our model gives 74% to Anastasia Zakharova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.